Tuesday's showdown is a single game, BAL @ HOU, with a $50,000 cap and a captain slot that scores 1.5x points at 1.5x salary. The slate locks Tue 10/27 at 6:00 p.m. ET (3:00 p.m. PT).
Our model's top projected play is Lamar Jackson of BAL at $10,600. His ceiling of 36.2 is the highest on the board, against a DraftKings average of 19.2. Derrick Henry is next in line at $11,000 with a ceiling of 32.0 and a 18.5 DraftKings average. Zay Flowers ($10,000, ceiling 26.1) and C.J. Stroud ($9,600, ceiling 26.4) round out the premium tier, and both sit well below the two BAL backs on upside.
The best value is Kayshon Boutte of HOU at $4,800. Our model gives him a ceiling of 34.2, which is within reach of Jackson's at less than half the salary, and his DraftKings average is just 8.6. Dalton Schultz ($6,800, ceiling 22.8) and Tank Dell ($6,400, ceiling 21.2) are the next HOU options for those who want exposure to that side without paying up.
The crowd will gather around the stars. Jackson is projected at 68% ownership, Stroud at 54% and Henry at 48%, with Flowers also at 48%. Mark Andrews comes in at 33% and Dell at 31%. Boutte is projected at only 18% and Schultz at 20%, so those two offer a way to separate from the field.
Our model's top lineup spends $49,700 of the $50,000 cap. It puts Henry in the captain slot at $16,500, then adds Jackson ($10,600), Stroud ($9,600), Schultz ($6,800), Boutte ($4,800) and Josh Cuevas ($1,400) at FLEX. The build leans on the two highest-priced stars while using Boutte and Cuevas to make the salary work.
Lineups lock Tue 10/27 at 6:00 p.m. ET.
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