Monday's single-game showdown pairs TB at ARI, and the slate locks Mon 11/9 at 4:00 p.m. ET (1:00 p.m. PT). The captain slot scores 1.5x points at 1.5x salary, so the pricing decisions at the top of the lineup matter more than usual under the $50,000 cap.
Our model's ranking puts several players close together at the top. Trey McBride (ARI) carries the highest ceiling on the board at 29.3 for $7,800, though his DraftKings average is 14.0. Baker Mayfield (TB) is next at 28.6 for $10,400, followed by Jacoby Brissett (ARI) at 27.2 for $9,000 and Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) at 25.9 for $7,600. Chris Godwin Jr. (TB) is the priciest of the group at $10,600 with a 23.6 ceiling, which makes him harder to justify next to the ARI options.
The value plays sit lower in the salary range. Michael Wilson (ARI) costs $6,200 with a 22.7 ceiling, and Chase McLaughlin (TB) is only $4,200 with a 16.4 ceiling, a useful way to free up cap space for the expensive slots.
The crowd will gather around a few names. Mayfield is projected at 67% ownership, Brissett at 54%, and Bucky Irving (TB) at 47%, the same as Godwin. Mayfield's popularity at $10,400 leaves room to differentiate. McBride at 33%, Harrison at 30% and McLaughlin at 28% are all less owned, and Wilson is lowest at 24%.
Our model's top lineup uses $49,500 of the $50,000 cap. It puts McBride at captain for $11,700, then fills the flex spots with Jeremiyah Love at $10,000, Brissett at $9,000, Harrison at $7,600, Wilson at $6,200 and Jalen McMillan at $5,000. The build leans on ARI and avoids the most popular TB names.
Lock arrives Mon 11/9 at 4:00 p.m. ET, so finalize your lineups before then.
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