Monday's one-game showdown pits CHI against SEA, and the slate locks at 8:15 p.m. ET (5:15 p.m. PT). With a single game, the captain slot carries the weight: it scores 1.5x points at 1.5x salary, and the cap is $50,000.
Our model's top-ranked play is Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) at $12,000, with a ceiling of 42.3 and a DraftKings average of 30.6. That is the highest ceiling on the board by a wide margin. Behind him, Caleb Williams (CHI) costs $10,200 and carries a 35.6 ceiling against a 22.7 DraftKings average. D'Andre Swift (CHI) at $9,800 shows a 29.5 ceiling, and Sam Darnold (SEA) at $9,400 sits at 29.6.
The value picks start with Colston Loveland (CHI) at $7,800. His ceiling of 27.4 sits well above his 8.9 DraftKings average, so the upside is the case here. On the SEA side, Zach Charbonnet is priced at $7,000 with a 24.5 ceiling, and Emanuel Wilson is $7,400 with a 23.2 ceiling and an 11.3 average. Luther Burden III (CHI) is the priciest of that group at $9,000, with a 23.0 ceiling and a 14.4 average.
On the injury front, several names carry DraftKings tags and should not be counted on. Kyle Monangai (CHI), Drew Lock (SEA), Case Keenum (CHI), Rashid Shaheed (SEA) and Velus Jones Jr. (SEA) are all tagged OUT, while Robbie Ouzts (SEA), Brittain Brown (CHI) and Jake Bobo (SEA) are tagged IR. No ownership figures are available for this slate, so we cannot say where the crowd will land.
Our model's top lineup uses the full $50,000. It puts Jaxon Smith-Njigba at captain for $18,000, then fills the FLEX spots with AJ Barner at $4,600, Sam Roush at $1,200, Luther Burden III at $9,000, Colston Loveland at $7,800 and Sam Darnold at $9,400. Pairing a high-priced captain with a $1,200 flex is what makes the build fit under the cap.
Lineups lock at 8:15 p.m. ET.
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