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GB at NE Showdown: Watson Leads Our Model's Lineup

Updated Nov 11, 2026 12:47 AM PST · Discord #nfl

Sun 11/8 · Written 3:05 p.m. ET · Full table →

Sunday's DraftKings showdown is a single game, GB @ NE, and it locks at 4:25 p.m. ET (1:25 p.m. PT) on 11/8. The captain slot scores 1.5x points at 1.5x salary, so one pick shapes the whole $50,000 build.

The top of our model's board starts with Drake Maye (NE) at $11,000. He carries a ceiling of 37.9, the highest on the slate, against a DraftKings average of 22.1. Christian Watson (GB) is next at $10,000 with a ceiling of 35.1 and an average of 19.6. Jordan Love (GB) costs $10,400, with a ceiling of 32.7 and an average of 20.6. Josh Jacobs (GB) sits at $9,800 with the highest average of the group at 21.7, though his ceiling of 26.2 is lower than the three above him.

The value plays are where the upside gets cheaper. Tucker Kraft (GB) is $7,400 with a ceiling of 27.4, well above his DraftKings average of 11.1, a gap that suits a tournament build. DeMario Douglas (NE) at $6,800 has a ceiling of 21.3. Matthew Golden (GB) costs $9,000 and carries a ceiling of 27.7. Several names are unavailable: A.J. Brown (NE), Behren Morton (NE), TreVeyon Henderson (NE) and MarShawn Lloyd (GB) are tagged OUT, while Jayden Reed (GB) is on IR.

The fact sheet gives no ownership figures, so we won't guess where the crowd will land. The salary structure still offers a hint. Maye and Love are priced at the top of the board, and the cheapest route to a differentiated roster is to build around mid-priced pieces like Kraft.

Our model's top lineup uses the full $50,000. Christian Watson goes in the captain slot at $15,000. The FLEX spots are Drake Maye at $11,000, Jordan Love at $10,400, Tucker Kraft at $7,400, Andy Borregales at $4,800 and Lan Larison at $1,400. The cheap kicker and Larison make room for the three expensive stars.

Lock is 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, 11/8, so have your lineups set before then.

Follow @numeric_dfs on X.

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