The two-game UEFA Nations League early slate on Thursday 11/12 features BEL @ TUR and CYP @ ARM. It's a DraftKings classic slate with a $50,000 cap, and it locks at 12:00 p.m. ET (9:00 a.m. PT).
At the top of our model's board, the price tags are steep. Kevin De Bruyne of BEL costs $11,200 and carries a ceiling of 39.8, the highest on the slate, with a DraftKings average of 20.5. Arda Guler of TUR is right behind at $11,000 with a 39.6 ceiling and a 20.8 DraftKings average. Hakan Calhanoglu of TUR is the cheaper way into the same game, at $9,200 with a 39.1 ceiling.
The value plays come from Cyprus and Belgium. Iasonas Pikis of CYP is $8,300 with a 35.3 ceiling, and Zanos Savva of CYP is $8,200 with a 34.8 ceiling. Marcus Edwards of CYP costs $9,300 and has a 34.1 ceiling and a DraftKings average of 18.2. For BEL, Jeremy Doku is $7,500 with a 31.9 ceiling, and Hugo Cuypers is $6,800 with a 28.9 ceiling, the cheapest of the top-ranked forwards.
The crowd will gather at the top. Projected ownership has De Bruyne at 42%, Guler at 41% and Mika Godts at 39%. Calhanoglu sits at 34%, and Pikis and Savva come in at 31% and 30%. Anyone looking to separate from the field has plenty of room to do it by fading the three most popular names.
Our model's top lineup spends $47,400 of the $50,000 cap. It uses Savva ($8,200) and Doku ($7,500) up front, Aral Simsir ($5,700) and Calhanoglu ($9,200) in midfield, Eren Elmali ($3,600) and Styopa Mkrtchyan ($2,700) on defense, and Jari De Busser ($5,300) in goal. Ioannis Kosti fills the UTIL spot at $5,200. The build skips both De Bruyne and Guler, leaning on mid-priced forwards and cheap defenders to stay balanced.
Lineups lock Thursday 11/12 at 12:00 p.m. ET.
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