The Tuesday 10/27 main slate on DraftKings has 12 matches and a $50,000 salary cap. Lock is Tue 10/27 at 8:10 a.m. ET (5:10 a.m. PT).
The top of our model's board is crowded. Alexander Zverev ($10,700) projects at 80.1 with a ceiling of 149.5, the highest ceiling among the top plays. Carlos Alcaraz ($9,900) sits at 79.7, Ben Shelton ($10,000) also at 79.7 with a 136.8 ceiling, and Arthur Fils ($9,700) at 79.6. Flavio Cobolli stands out on price: at $8,700 he projects 79.0, within about a point of the leaders while costing less than every one of them.
The value tier is where the slate gets interesting. Martin Landaluce at $4,200 projects 71.5, which works out to 17.0 points per $1,000, the best rate on the board. Karen Khachanov ($4,900) projects 75.4 at 15.4 points per $1,000, and Stan Wawrinka ($4,700) projects 71.2 at 15.1. All three carry projected ownership of 6%, so the salary relief comes with very little crowding. Their ceilings are modest, with Khachanov highest at 48.7, so they are about stable production rather than a spike.
The crowd is likely to gather around Fils, Rafael Jodar and Cobolli, each projected at 25% ownership. The rest of the top plays sit at 22%, so no single name dominates, but those three are the most popular. Jodar ($9,300) projects 75.2 with a 120.7 ceiling, and he is the one our model keeps from that group alongside Cobolli.
Our model's top lineup uses $49,900 of the $50,000 cap. It pairs Zverev ($10,700), Shelton ($10,000), Jodar ($9,300) and Cobolli ($8,700) with Ignacio Buse ($6,500) and Wawrinka ($4,700). That build pays for the high-ceiling stars at the top and leans on Wawrinka's price to make the salaries fit.
Lineups lock Tue 10/27 at 8:10 a.m. ET.
Follow @numeric_dfs on X.