The main slate on Tuesday 11/03 features 11 matches, from Berrettini @ Nakashima to Jodar @ Ruud, with a $50,000 salary cap. It locks Tue 11/3 at 6:10 a.m. ET (3:10 a.m. PT), so early risers will want their lineups set well ahead of that.
Our model's top projection belongs to Ben Shelton at $9,400, who is projected for 79.3 with a ceiling of 110.6. Rafael Jodar is right behind at 79.0 for $8,700, a cheaper way into nearly the same output. Taylor Fritz at $9,900 projects for 75.4 but carries the highest ceiling among the top plays at 113.5. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ($9,300) projects at 75.2, Novak Djokovic ($9,100) at 74.9, Tommy Paul ($9,000) at 74.8, and Jiri Lehecka ($8,300) at 74.5. Paula Badosa rounds out the group at $9,600 and 72.3.
The value plays are where the slate gets interesting. Benjamin Bonzi at $5,100 projects for 71.1, or 13.9 points per $1,000, the best rate on the board. Elena Pridankina at $5,500 projects for 70.9 (12.9 per $1,000), and Cameron Norrie at $5,700 projects for 72.2 (12.7 per $1,000). Each is projected at just 6% ownership, which makes all three useful for separating a lineup from the field.
The crowd looks set to gather around three names. Jodar, Djokovic and Paul are each projected at 25% ownership. Shelton, Davidovich Fokina, Fritz and Badosa sit at 22%, and Lehecka at 21%. Fading the 25% group is one way to differentiate without giving up much projection.
Our model's top lineup uses the full $50,000: Fritz ($9,900), Davidovich Fokina ($9,300), Jodar ($8,700), Brandon Nakashima ($8,400), Learner Tien ($8,000) and Norrie ($5,700). Norrie's low price is what makes room for four players above $8,000 and Fritz's top-end ceiling. Lock is Tue 11/3 at 6:10 a.m. ET.
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