The main tennis slate for Wed 11/04 is a 12-match card, with Tien @ Van Assche, Merida @ Paul, Medvedev @ Buse, Musetti @ Zverev and Alcaraz @ Michelsen among the matches. It uses the $50,000 DraftKings classic cap and locks Wed 11/4 at 6:10 a.m. ET (3:10 a.m. PT).
At the top of our model's board, the projections are tightly packed. Daniil Medvedev ($10,400) leads at 80.0 with a 127.9 ceiling, just ahead of Carlos Alcaraz ($10,100) at 79.9 and Alex de Minaur ($9,900) at 79.7. Alcaraz owns the best DraftKings average of that group at 67.2. Alexander Zverev ($8,800) projects at 79.2, nearly matching the priciest names at a noticeably lower salary, and Arthur Fils ($8,200) sits at 79.0.
The value end is where the cap gets stretched. Ignacio Buse is $4,800 and projects at 72.8, or 15.2 points per $1,000. Alex Michelsen ($5,100, 72.7) comes in at 14.3, and Tomas Martin Etcheverry ($5,400, 72.6) at 13.4. Their ceilings are modest (34.2, 37.0 and 40.8), so they are floor-minded salary savers, not upside plays. Each projects at just 6% ownership.
The crowd is likely to gather around Tommy Paul, Taylor Fritz and Zverev, each at 25% projected ownership. Medvedev, Alcaraz, de Minaur and Novak Djokovic all sit at 22%, and Fils is at 21%, so the field is spread across a lot of expensive names.
Our model's top lineup uses the full $50,000: Djokovic ($9,700), Fritz ($9,500), Paul ($9,400), Karen Khachanov ($8,400), Fils ($8,200) and Buse ($4,800). That mixes two of the heavily owned names with Djokovic and Fils, then pays for it with the cheapest value play on the board.
Lock is Wed 11/4 at 6:10 a.m. ET.
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