The Thu 11/05 main slate on DraftKings carries 10 matches on a $50,000 cap, and it locks Thu 11/5 at 5:00 a.m. ET (2:00 a.m. PT). Alcaraz @ Berrettini, Fritz @ Fils, Ruud @ Struff and Van Assche @ Musetti headline the card.
At the top of our model's ranking, Carlos Alcaraz costs $10,600 and projects for 79.9, with a ceiling of 123.5 that is the highest on the board. Ben Shelton is right behind at $9,500 with a projection of 79.5 and a ceiling of 111.1. Arthur Fils stands out on price, projecting 78.5 at only $7,200, though his ceiling of 82.8 sits close to that number. Sorana Cirstea ($9,900, 75.3), Lorenzo Musetti ($9,300, 75.2) and Tommy Paul ($9,400, 75.2) cluster just below.
The value pool is where a build can gain room. Matteo Berrettini is $4,600 for a projection of 72.7, which works out to 15.8 points per $1,000, the best rate among players under $7,900. His ceiling is only 36.6, so he is a salary-saver more than a source of upside. Mary Stoiana at $5,300 projects for 71.0 (13.4 per $1,000), and Arthur Rinderknech at $5,600 projects for 70.9 (12.7). All three are projected at just 6% ownership.
The crowd is likely to gather around three names at 25% projected ownership: Musetti, Casper Ruud and Alexandra Eala. Alcaraz, Shelton, Cirstea, Paul and Fils all sit in the 21% to 22% range, so exposure is spread fairly evenly across the top of the board.
Our model's top lineup uses the full $50,000: Shelton ($9,500), Paul ($9,400), Musetti ($9,300), Tomas Martin Etcheverry ($7,900), Fils ($7,200) and Tereza Valentova ($6,700). Lineups lock Thu 11/5 at 5:00 a.m. ET.
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