The Sat 11/07 short slate on DraftKings is four matches: Montgomery @ Tjen, Shelton @ Van Assche, Zakharova @ Linette and Alcaraz @ Ruud. It locks Sat 11/7 at 7:30 a.m. ET (4:30 a.m. PT), so early decisions are needed. Lineups use a captain slot that scores 1.5x points at 1.5x salary under the $50,000 cap.
At the top, our model has Carlos Alcaraz at 79.8 for $23,000, narrowly ahead of Ben Shelton at 79.5 for $21,500. Alcaraz carries the higher ceiling at 163.8 against 152.7 for Shelton. Both sit well above their DraftKings averages of 67.3 and 57.5, which is what the projections are built to flag. Janice Tjen follows at 70.4 for $19,200, though her ceiling of 82.4 is far lower than the two leaders.
The value is on the other side of the two biggest matches. Casper Ruud projects at 75.5 for just $11,300, and Luca Van Assche is at 72.4 for $12,500. Both are projected at 6% ownership, so they offer cheap points with little crowding. Robin Montgomery is a mid-priced option at 70.4 for $14,900, and Magda Linette matches Anastasia Zakharova at 70.0, with Linette cheaper at $16,700 against $17,600.
The crowd is likely to gather around Shelton and Tjen at 25% each, with Alcaraz close behind at 22%. Zakharova is projected at 21%, while Linette and Montgomery both sit at 13%. Those lower numbers make Linette a way to differ from the field without giving up much on projection.
Our model's top lineup spends $49,900 of the $50,000 cap. It puts Linette in the captain slot at $16,700, uses Shelton as the A-CPT at $17,900, and adds Alcaraz at $15,300. It pairs one popular name with a lower-owned captain.
Lock is Sat 11/7 at 7:30 a.m. ET, so get lineups set before then.
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