Saturday's main UFC slate on DraftKings has 14 fights, led by Souza @ Parsons, Turman @ Ko and Petroski @ Kondratavicius. It runs on the classic format with a $50,000 salary cap, and the slate locks Sat 11/7 at 5:00 p.m. ET (2:00 p.m. PT).
The top of our model's ranking is crowded with fighters priced between $8,600 and $9,700. Nina Milosevic is the most expensive of the group at $9,500 and carries the highest ceiling on the board at 284.2, with a DraftKings average of 108.4. Tatiana Suarez costs $8,600 and has a ceiling of 237.8 and an average of 101.4. Mantas Kondratavicius sits at $9,300 with a 236.1 ceiling and a 103.0 average, while Elijah Smith is $9,100 with a 230.9 ceiling and a 98.2 average. Lucas Fernando rounds out the strongest group at $9,200, with a ceiling of 218.1 and an average of 92.9.
Not every high salary comes with the same return. Keiichiro Nakamura is priced at $9,400 but shows a ceiling of 176.0 and an average of 73.3. Marcos Degli, at $9,000, has a ceiling of 122.3. Seokhyeon Ko costs $9,700, the highest salary among our top plays, with a 224.1 ceiling and an 81.4 average.
For value, our model points to Jonny Parsons at $7,300 and Wellington Turman at $6,500. Both land in the top lineup, and their lower salaries are what make room for four fighters priced at $8,600 or above.
The fact sheet does not include ownership figures for this slate, so we can't say where the crowd is likely to gather.
Our model's top lineup uses the full $50,000 of the $50,000 cap: Kondratavicius at $9,300, Fernando at $9,200, Smith at $9,100, Suarez at $8,600, Parsons at $7,300 and Turman at $6,500. Lineups lock Sat 11/7 at 5:00 p.m. ET.
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